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It"s incredible, but this time, the presidential...

is the following - Yanukovych will win the second round by a narrow margin, since, first, his solid lead in the first round is impossible to ignore.

Second, it is highly unlikely that Serhiy Tyhypko or Arseny Yatsenyuk will support any of the candidates since this will effectively end their political careers.

Third, as noted by Konstantin Zatulin, director of the Institute of the CIS Countries, "Yanukovych certainly has tremendous unrealized potential. Yanukovych"s turnout and vote count are considerable, but they are not as considerable as they were in 2004 in such Russian-speaking regions as the Crimea and Sevastopol. This is a consequence, among other things, of the mistakes of the regional divisions of the Party of Regions. And of course, Yanukovych has it within him to correct these mistakes and gain the additional votes needed on account of his core electorate."

Regarding possible tandems, Tyhypko and Yatsenyuk, as new political figures, basically,

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