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MOSCOW. (RIA Novosti political analyst Dmitry...

that it would finally fulfill its contract to supply $6.4 billion-worth of arms to Taiwan. Moreover, after some delay the U.S. president will meet with the Dalai Lama, the Tibetan leader in exile. In response, China scaled back military contacts with the United States and threatened to impose sanctions on American companies involved in the Taiwan deal, including Boeing.

This is just another round of the traditional diplomatic dance between the two countries. Washington has always sold weapons to Taiwan and met with the Tibetan exiles. China has always protested but made sure that its protests did not do real material damage. The two countries cannot do otherwise; it"s tradition.

However, the year is now 2010, and the global situation has undergone a radical change. The $6.4 billion-contract is several years old. It was delayed under George W. Bush. The only difference is that at that time the weapons would have been received by the pro-American President Chen Shui-bian,

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